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Los Angeles Angels -118 (vs Cleveland Indians)Hector Santiago (7-5, 2.70 ERA) vs Danny Salazar (9-6, 3.47 ERA)
After being shut out by Carrasco & o. last night and losing after three extra innings, the Angels have now dropped eight of their last 10 games as they try to hold on to a wild-card spot. The Angels need to improve, especially when playing teams with losing records. Today is as good a time as any to return to their winning ways, with a good matchup in pitching department and batters with something to prove after last night’s letdown.
In AccuScore simulations, the Angels are a tad bigger favorites than the oddsmakers believe, with 59.2 percent winning probability. The odds of -145 would be closer to target. There’s great value in the currently underachieving home team to start its climb back up the standings.
AccuScore Top Trend for past 30 days: The Angels are 11-4 vs. an opponent with losing record and 8-4 as a home favorite
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals: OVER 7.5 -113Matt Boyd vs. Johnny Cueto (in KC: 0-0, 4.50 ERA & in CIN: 7-6, 2.62)
The Tigers are starting a rookie pitcher at home vs. some of the smartest offensive players in the league, while K.C. gives the superstar pitcher Johnny Cueto another chance to grab a victory on his new team. This is not an easy spot for either starter, and despite the quality of pitching, we expect some jitters and quite a bit of scoring as well. With the total pushed down to 7.5, there’s good value in the OVER. AccuScore’s simulation engine – which tends to favor the UNDER in most instances – sets the total closer to 9.
AccuScore’s season-to-date record for LM: 54-67 (-13.98 units)
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